NFL NEWS: The Athletic's Vic Tafur expects Raiders RB Jalen Richard to lose a "good chunk" of his receiving work to rookie RB Josh Jacobs.
Richard’s 68 receptions tied TE Jared Cook for the team lead in catches last season and ranked 7th amongst running backs overall.
However with the arrival of Jacobs his pass catching opportunity could significantly decrease. Jacobs has been talked up as the team’s every-down back this offseason and if that’s the case, then Richard will basically lose most of his value.
It’ll be interested to see how the touches are distributed in training camp and if Jacobs is indeed operating on all three downs.
In seasonal leagues, Richard is already going undrafted in a lot of leagues so this report doesn’t impact much. However in dynasty, Richard is definitely widely rostered and his value would plummet if his receiving work is limited.
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We’ve assembled the QB rankings from this past season of several well known analysts, and then graded them on how accurate they turned out to be in the end.
The Scores: (Lower=better)
1. Adam Rank: 132
2. Marcus Grant: 158
Tie-3: Michael Fabiano: 162
Tie-3: Tristan Cockcroft:162
5: Mike Clay: 169
6: Matthew Berry: 176
How the Scoring Works:
The final scores are the result of adding all of the differences between preseason rankings and actually an rankings at the end of the season.
For example, Adam Rank had Ben Roethlisberger as his 17th ranked QB going into the season, but Big Ben finished the season as the 3rd highest scoring QB behind Patrick Mahomes and Matt Ryan. So the difference in those rankings is 14, and we add up those differences for each of the top 20 QBs. So Adam Rank had the lowest score, which means he was the most accurate, as there was not as great a difference in his predictions as Matthew Berry, who had the least accurate rankings of the 6 analysts we reviewed.
Would you like to see us do the same with other positions, as well as compare sites themselves such as NFL.com vs ESPN?
The point of this post is not to compare analysts and say definitively who is the best at predicting fantasy football. We are simply are just showing how preseason predictions can be totally off, and that the regular season is pretty much unpredictable.